Interpretable Operational Regime Classification for a Wind Turbine PHM Digital Twin Architecture
##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.main##
##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.sidebar##
Abstract
Wind turbines operate under varying environmental and control conditions that make reliable interpretation of SCADA data challenging. Without contextual information about the current operating state, normal variability may be mistaken for abnormal behaviour, reducing the reliability of diagnostic and prognostic analysis. This study develops a Digital Twin framework for wind turbines using SCADA data, where periodically updated models represent turbine structure, behaviour, and operating context. To address this, physics-informed operational zones are defined based on power curve characteristics and control logic, providing structured labels. These are used to train interpretable rule-based algorithms, Repeated Incremental Pruning to Produce Error Reduction (RIPPER) and First-Order Inductive Learner (FOIL), which generate explicit IF-THEN rules linking measured variables to operational states. Evaluation using overall accuracy, macro-F1 score, and per-class precision and recall shows that both methods achieve classification while producing compact, physically interpretable rule sets aligned with known turbine behaviour. The study demonstrates that rule-based learning enables transparent and effective operational regime classification, forming a critical contextual layer for prognostics and health management (PHM) oriented Digital Twins, with applicability beyond wind turbines to other industrial assets.
How to Cite
##plugins.themes.bootstrap3.article.details##
digital twin, explainable AI, wind turbine, RIPPER, SCADA
Dai, J., Liu, D., Wen, L., & Long, X. (2016). Research on power coefficient of wind turbines based on SCADA data. Renewable Energy, 86, 206–215. Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148115302238
Duguid, L. (2018). Data analytics in the offshore wind industry: Pilot case study outcomes (CATAPULT Offshore Renewable Energy Report No. PN000229-RPT-001). Retrieved from https://ore.catapult.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Data-Analytics-in-Offshore-Wind-Pilot-Case-Study-Outcomes.pdf
Hong, H. S., Hue, N. T., Ninh, N. T., Thuan, N. D., & Huong, N. T. L. (2025). Physics-constrained scheme for outlier removal in wind turbine SCADA data for power curve modeling. Electric Power Systems Research, 248, 111953. Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378779625005449
ISO/IEC. (2023). ISO/IEC 30173:2023 — Digital twin: Concepts and terminology. Geneva: International Organization for Standardization.
Lydia, M., Kumar, S. S., Selvakumar, A. I., & Prem Kumar, G. E. (2014). A comprehensive review on wind turbine power curve modeling techniques. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, 30, 452–460.
Manwell, J. F., McGowan, J. G., & Rogers, A. L. (2009). Wind energy explained: Theory, design and application (2nd ed.). John Wiley & Sons. ISBN 978-0-470-01500-1.
National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. (2024). Foundational research gaps and future directions for digital twins. Washington, DC: The National Academies Press. doi: https://doi.org/10.17226/26894
Nössig, A., Hell, T., & Moser, G. (2024). Rule learning by modularity. Machine Learning, 113, 7479–7508. Retrieved from https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10994-024-06556-5
Ouyang, T., Kusiak, A., & He, Y. (2017). Modeling wind-turbine power curve: A data partitioning and mining approach. Renewable Energy, 102, 1–8.
Pandit, R. K., Infield, D., & Kolios, A. (2019). Comparison of advanced non-parametric models for wind turbine power curves. IET Renewable Power Generation, 13(9), 1503–1510.
Pandit, R., & Wang, J. (2024). A comprehensive review on enhancing wind turbine applications with advanced SCADA data analytics and practical insights. IET Renewable Power Generation, 18, 722–742.
Quinlan, J. R. (1990). Learning logical definitions from relations. Machine Learning, 5(3), 239–266. Retrieved from https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF00117105
Saint-Drenan, Y.-M., Besseau, R., Jansen, M., Staffell, I., Troccoli, A., Dubus, L., Schmidt, J., Gruber, K., & Simoes, S. (2020). A parametric model for wind turbine power curves incorporating environmental conditions. Renewable Energy, 157, 754–768. Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148120306613
Singh, M. (2024). A hybrid machine learning and possibilistic methodology for predicting produced power using wind turbine SCADA data. In Proceedings of the 8th European Conference of the PHM Society, Prague, Czech Republic, July 3–5, 2024. Retrieved from https://papers.phmsociety.org/index.php/phme/article/view/4006
Singh, M., Kampen, A.-L., Mishra, R., & Jha, M. (2025). Development of an integrated condition monitoring, SCADA and digital twins human cognition-inspired condition management system for wind turbines. In Proceedings of the 8th International Congress and Workshop on Industrial AI and eMaintenance, Luleå, Sweden, May 13–15, 2025.
Tavner, P. (2012). Offshore wind turbines: Reliability, availability and maintenance. IET Renewable Energy Series 13. The Institution of Engineering and Technology. ISBN 978-1-84919-230-9.
Xie, J., Dong, H., & Zhao, X. (2023). Data-driven torque and pitch control of wind turbines via reinforcement learning. Renewable Energy, 215, 118893. Retrieved from https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960148123007905
Yang, W., Wei, K., Peng, Z., & Hu, W. (2018). Advanced health condition monitoring of wind turbines. In W. Hu (Ed.), Advanced wind turbine technology. Springer International Publishing.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License.
The Prognostic and Health Management Society advocates open-access to scientific data and uses a Creative Commons license for publishing and distributing any papers. A Creative Commons license does not relinquish the author’s copyright; rather it allows them to share some of their rights with any member of the public under certain conditions whilst enjoying full legal protection. By submitting an article to the International Conference of the Prognostics and Health Management Society, the authors agree to be bound by the associated terms and conditions including the following:
As the author, you retain the copyright to your Work. By submitting your Work, you are granting anybody the right to copy, distribute and transmit your Work and to adapt your Work with proper attribution under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 United States license. You assign rights to the Prognostics and Health Management Society to publish and disseminate your Work through electronic and print media if it is accepted for publication. A license note citing the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 United States License as shown below needs to be placed in the footnote on the first page of the article.
First Author et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 United States License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.